David de Souza

49 Mental Models For Negotiation

2020-03-09 · first published on 8020.co

Learning a small number of big ideas from the field of negotiation will help you on a daily basis however there are a few instances where improving your negotiating skills will have a huge impact on your life.

Perhaps the most significant gains that you can achieve from negotiation is with your income. Your ability to negotiate a higher hourly rate coupled with the power of compound interest could be worth hundreds of thousands of dollars over your life. Learning the core principles of negotiation could be the single highest value thing that you do.

I have taken the top 10 books on negotiation and created a latticework of mental models for the topic. This framework allows for better understanding and I have found it makes it easier to remember the ideas.

The Books:

  1. Never Split the Difference
  2. 3D Negotiation
  3. Getting to Yes
  4. Exactly What to Say
  5. Negotiation Genius
  6. How to Speak/How to Listen
  7. Difficult Conversations
  8. Non-Violent Communication
  9. Start with No
  10. Just Listen

49 Mental models for Negotiation:

  1. Agenda Setting Theory
  2. Algorithms
  3. Anchoring
  4. Attentional Bias
  5. Asymmetric Warfare
  6. Consistency & Commitment Bias
  7. Cooperation
  8. Curiosity Instinct
  9. Denial
  10. Ego
  11. Emotions: Anger, Calm, Embarrassment, Empathy, Fear, Guilt, Humility, Neediness, Powerlessness, Shame, Vulnerable, Validated
  12. Expectations & Predictions
  13. First Impression Bias
  14. First Principles Thinking
  15. First Conclusion Bias
  16. Friction
  17. Hanlon's Razor
  18. Ikea Effect
  19. Incentives
  20. Inoculation
  21. Inertia
  22. Irrationality
  23. Language Instinct
  24. Leverage
  25. Liking
  26. Loss Aversion
  27. Mise-en-place
  28. Momentum
  29. Newton's 3rd Law
  30. Narrative Instinct
  31. Opportunity Cost
  32. Pareto Efficiency
  33. Reciprocity
  34. Reframing
  35. Resistance
  36. Randomness
  37. Scarcity
  38. Self-Preservation
  39. Social Proof
  40. Stress
  41. Supply & Demand
  42. Surface Area
  43. System 1 vs System 2
  44. Tendency to Want to Do Something
  45. The Map is Not the Territory
  46. Trust
  47. Utility
  48. Velocity
  49. Vividness Bias
1. Agenda Setting Theory
2. Algorithms
  1. "If you give me a chance in this role, then I am confident you won't be disappointed."
  2. "If you decide to give this a try, then I'm sure you won't be disappointed" - Another example of a conditional statement is: "If I can....will you?" For Example: "If I match the price for you, then would you be happy to place the order with me today?"
3. Anchoring
  1. Market value
  2. What a court would decide
  3. Precedents
  4. Moral standards
  5. Scientific judgment
  6. Equal treatment
  7. Costs - Anchor with an extreme offer. Use a number that doesn't feel like it has been plucked out of the air. An odd number like $39,543 looks like it is the result of a thoughtful calculation. Then surprise your counterpart with an unrelated gift. - When starting negotiations, begin with a high anchor by alluding to a high price that someone else might charge: "If you go to 'abc' they will charge you $2000 a day". - Provide a range. Columbia Business School found that people who gave a range were offered a much higher salary. Use a "bolstering range" where the low number is the amount that you want. - Use flexible but extreme offers and "non-offer-offers" to anchor, for example: "We'd obviously need to do our due diligence on your company to determine our valuation. Our general sense is that private companies of this size tend to sell at 12 times earnings, which is what we're currently thinking". When you make such a statement, watch for the person's reaction very closely, you have 2 goals: (1) Learn about their 'Zone of Possible Agreement (ZOPA)' and (2) Shaping their perception. - A non-offer that is unrealistic may work well as an anchor because it doesn't undermine credibility or expertise. For example: "Purchasing is undoubtedly going to demand price cuts of 15% or more just to get the conversation started". - If you have been anchored, clearly and politely communicate that you are ruling the offer out of consideration. Deflect their extreme anchor offer by saying "no" in a variety of ways: (1) How am I supposed to do that? (2) What are you trying to accomplish here? - Anchor emotions. If you can anchor a person's emotions so that they expect a loss, they will be motivated to avoid it. For example say: "I have got a lousy proposition for you...you're going to think I'm a lousy businessman. You're going to think I can't budget or plan."
4. Attentional Bias/ Identity
  1. We have different information: We notice different things. If you take your nephew to a parade, he might notice the trucks, and you the cheerleaders. We notice what we care about.
  2. We have different interpretations: We are influenced by past experiences. We often aren't aware of how past experiences affect our view of the world, we just think this is how things are. We apply different rules, for example: "It is unprofessional to be late".
5. Asymmetric Warfare
6. Consistency & Commitment Bias
7. Cooperation
  1. Can you help me understand....?
  2. Let's work on how we might....?
  3. I wonder whether it is possible to....
8. Curiosity Instinct
9. Denial
  1. How am I supposed to do that?
  2. Your offer is very generous, I'm sorry, that just doesn't work for me.
  3. I'm sorry, I'm afraid I just can't do that (at that price).
  4. No, said with a downward inflection.
10. Ego
11. Emotions
  1. Ask yourself: What story am I telling myself that is bringing me this feeling.

  2. Explore the other person's intentions.

  3. Think about the contribution system.

  1. Autonomy - The desire to make independent choices.
  2. Appreciation - The desire to be appreciated, valued, and recognized.
  3. Affiliation - The desire to be part of some group.
  4. Role - The desire to have a meaningful purpose.
  5. Status - The desire to be seen and given acknowledgment - When expressing your feelings, try to use a specific emotion. When you have a decent vocabulary of feelings that allow you to express your emotions, it allows you to better connect with a person. When you've noticed an emotion in someone else, label it with one of the following:

  6. It sounds like

  7. It seems like
  8. It looks like
  9. Do not say: "I hear...." because hearing "I" can cause people to become defensive. It also indirectly shows that you are focusing on yourself and it causes you to take responsibility for the words that follow. - People make decisions with their emotions but use logic to justify themselves. Help them make their decision feel right (and follow up with logic to help them justify their decision). - Create a future scenario that allows the person to feel their emotions (either loss or gain), for example: "How would you feel if this decision led to your promotion?" - When negotiating take notes, it will help you to control your emotions. You won't show excitement or disappointment as easily. Taking notes also allows the person to feel more at ease, more important and respected, as they feel like they are being listened to. - When you take notes you are listening and not talking. Your notes will also help to provide you with more information and documentation. - Diffuse confrontation and emotions by using these phrases:

  10. "Correct me if I am wrong"

  11. "I appreciate what you've done"
  12. "Our concern is fairness"
  13. "Could I ask a few questions to see if my facts are right?"
  14. "Let me see if I understand what you are saying"
  15. "Let me get back to you"
  16. "One fair solution might be...."
  17. Avoid using "But" as it creates tension by negating what you just said. Start a new sentence instead like this: "This is not a matter of trust. The issue is the principle"
11.1 - Emotions: Anger
  1. Breathe. Stay quiet.
  2. Notice the thoughts that are making you angry.
  3. Notice what needs are being unmet.
  4. Express your feelings and unmet needs. - If someone seems frustrated or angry try the following steps:

  5. Step 1: Try not to see it as an attack but as an expression of their needs.

  6. Step 2: "I'm confused/frustrated/[insert emotion] because I'd like to be clearer about what you are referring to. Would you be willing to tell me what I've done that leads you to see me in this way?"
  7. Step 3: "Are you feeling (how they appear to be feeling) because (their need which isn't being met)" For example: Are you feeling unhappy because you are needing to be heard?" - Comfort someone angry by asking: "What would you like me to do?". This question can not be answered with a simple yes or no, forcing the person to think and move away from the emotional side of the brain which might be causing them to be angry and triggering their emotions. - People become angry if you don't give them the chance to talk. If someone becomes angry say: "It sounds like you are angry, and I want to understand why that is, please tell me what is on your mind?" - If possible, avoid interrupting someone when they are venting. When they make an exaggerated statement, ask calmly: "Do you really believe that?" - Threats are usually ill-advised as they lead to counter threats. Warnings are better as they are less likely to cause counter-threats.
11.2 - Emotions: Calm
  1. Listen to themselves more carefully and clarify their own thoughts, allowing you to learn more about what they are thinking and their goals.
  2. They become less defensive.
  3. They are more willing to listen to other points of view.
  4. They become calmer and more logical. - Softening Words to Calm:

  5. Perhaps

  6. Maybe
  7. I think
  8. It seems
  9. Start with: How & What... avoid Why - Softening Phrases to Calm:

  10. What about this is important to you?

  11. How can I help make this better for you?
  12. How would you like us to move forward with this?
  13. How can we solve this issue?
  14. What's your objective?
  15. How am I supposed to do that?
11.3 - Emotions: Embarrassment
11.4 - Emotions: Empathy
11.5 - Emotions: Fear
  1. "How much would I need to increase my order to qualify for a discount?"
  2. "What are the characteristics of your typical buyer?"
  3. "Do you purchase your materials domestically?"
11.6 - Emotions: Guilt
11.7 - Emotions: Humility
  1. Can you say a little more about how you see things?
  2. What information might you have that I don't?
  3. How do you see it differently?
  4. What impact have my actions had on you? - Let people know that what they have said has made an impression on you. Let them know that you are trying to understand them:

  5. I never knew you felt that way.

  6. It sounds like that is really important to you?
11.8 - Emotions: Neediness
11.9 - Emotions: PowerlessNESS
11.10 - Emotion: Shame
11.11 - Emotions: Vulnerable

11.12 - Emotions: Validated
12. Expectations & Predictions
13. First Impression Bias / Mise-en-place
14. First Principles Thinking
  1. Take it personally by taking blame and criticism. If someone says: "You are the most self-absorbed person I know!" You react: "I should have been less self-absorbed." We accept the person's judgment and blame ourselves. This has an effect on our self-esteem, resulting in guilt and shame.
  2. Blame the speaker. Someone says: "You are the most self-absorbed person I know!" You react: How dare you say that. I am always putting you first. You are far worse than me."
  3. Be conscious of needs: You react: "When I hear you say that I am the most self-centered person you've ever met, I feel hurt because I need some recognition of my efforts to be considerate of your preferences. By reacting this way we become aware that our feelings of hurt come from a need to be recognized.
  4. Be conscious of the other person's needs. You react: "Are you feeling hurt because you need more consideration for your preference?" - Focus on interests, not position. Often negotiators think they should listen to find out what the other person wants. This can be a bad idea because it detracts attention from discovering, why they want what they want. Don't attack their position, look behind it. Don't reject or accept it, Treat it as an option. Look for the principles that reflect their position and look for ways to improve them that might help both you and them. - We often ask: "Does that make sense" or "wouldn't you agree" because it is reassuring but you learn more by asking: "How do you see things differently?" - Agree on principles before agreeing on terms. - If someone gives you a price, ask how they arrived at that figure.
15. First Conclusion Bias
16. Friction
17. Hanlon's Razor
18. Ikea Effect
19. Incentives

20. Inoculation
21. Inertia/Status Quo Bias
22. Irrationality
  1. Being uninformed.
  2. Having hidden constraints.
  3. Having hidden interests. - Be aware that there might be a difference between what people say they want and what they really want. This is why it is useful to probe and understand their position.
23. Language Instinct
  1. Late-night FM DJ voice: Inflecting your voice in a downward manner. Talk slowly, talk clearly. This style of talking shows that you have things under control.
  2. The positive playful voice: This is the voice you should be using most of the time. You should have a light and encouraging attitude. Relax and smile while talking in this voice as it can be detected.
  3. The direct or assertive voice. - The most critical step in persuasion is known as "Buy-in". This is the point at which the person goes from resisting to listening (and to then consider what is being said). The key to getting buy-in is saying what the other person is thinking (but not saying). - You will be listened to and your interests are taken into account if the other person feels like they have been listened to and they have felt understood. People think that people who understand them are more sympathetic and more intelligent, and their opinions are worth listening to. Show that you are listening by asking: "Did I understand correctly what you are saying....?" - There are 4 areas of nonviolent communication:

  4. Observations

  5. Feelings
  6. Needs
  7. Requests - For example, 1-3 would be expressed like this: "Felix, when I see two balls of soiled socks under the coffee table and another three next to the TV, I feel irritated because I am needing more order in the rooms that we share in common." And it would then be followed by a request: "Would you be willing to put your socks in your room or in the washing?" - 3 is a magic number, it has rhythm and is easy to listen to a list of 3. Leave your desired choice until the end.
24. Leverage
25. Liking
26. Loss Aversion
27. Mise-en-place (Preparation)
28. Momentum
29. Newton's 3rd Law: Action & Reaction
  1. What about this doesn't work for you?
  2. What would you need to make it work?
  3. It seems like there is something here that bothers you?
  4. The key to getting people to see things your way is not to confront them on their ideas ("You can't leave") but to acknowledge their ideas openly ("I understand why you're pissed off) and then guide them toward solving the problem (What do you hope to accomplish by leaving?) - If you try and reason with someone who is mentally ill they will feel attacked and continue to feel what they have always felt before, that the world is sane and they are crazy, which is a lonely place to be. If you mirror the person, they will feel less alone. When they feel less alone, they will feel relief and be more likely to relax. As a result, they will feel grateful and due to reciprocity, open their mind.
30. Narrative Instinct
31. Opportunity Cost/Emotions
  1. Which issues do they keep returning to?
  2. Which issues have an effect on their emotions and make them tense?
  3. Which issues do they talk more on vs listening?
  4. Which issues are they least compromising on?
32. Pareto Efficiency /Emotions
33. Reciprocity/Trust
34. Reframing
35. Resistance
36. Randomness
37. Scarcity
  1. Increase the risk of an impasse and
  2. Cause you to increase your concessions as the deadline approaches.
38. Self-Preservation

39. Social Proof
  1. When selling a property have an open house, so that people come at the same time.
  2. When a prospective client asks for a list of times for a meeting, only provide a few to make it appear you are busy.
40. Stress
41. Supply & Demand
42. Surface Area
43. System 1 vs System 2
44. Tendency to Want to Do Something
45. The Map is Not the Territory
46. Trust
  1. Telling stories (that invoke laughter)
  2. Being modest about your credentials.
  3. Associating with others who people trust.
47. Utility
48. Velocity
49. Vividness Bias
  1. Increase the energy and modulation in your voice
  2. Over-emphasize body movement.
  3. Increase the use of gestures.
  4. Use your fingers to draw attention to a number of points.
  5. Sketch a diagram in the air if you don't have a whiteboard.